Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.1%). Look for Walker on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Walker wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Walker 52.3% vs Johnson 52.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Walker 66.5%
Defensive zone
Johnson 61.9%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.4%
Result
Nathan Walker favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Walker
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Walker
Johnson
Last 6: Walker 4-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Walker
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Walker
4
1
Walker
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Walker
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (165)
55.4% (186)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
100.0% (3)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (10)
37.8% (37)
+2.2%
On power play, Johnson has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Walker is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Walker shoots left. Johnson is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Walker
Johnson
Home
57.7% (111)
51.6% (95)
Away
47.0% (66)
54.2% (131)
By Period
Walker
Johnson
P1
61.2%
46.7%
P2
45.2%
50.5%
P3
56.1%
58.9%
Final 5 min
66.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Walker
52.0%▼
56.0%
53.7%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Reese Johnson |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Reese Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |