Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 51.7%). Look for Walker on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Walker 51.6% vs Johnson 51.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Walker 73.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 71.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.9%
Result
Nathan Walker favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Walker
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Walker
Johnson
Last 6: Walker 4-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Walker
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Walker
4
1
Walker
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Walker
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (452)
53.5% (434)
-0.8%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
80.0% (5)
-34.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
40.7% (81)
+3.7%
On power play, Johnson has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Walker is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Walker shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Walker
Johnson
Home
52.7% (296)
50.8% (252)
Away
50.7% (203)
52.6% (268)
By Period
Walker
Johnson
P1
58.4%
52.1%
P2
47.4%
47.4%
P3
50.9%
56.4%
Final 5 min
54.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Walker
52.0%▼
56.0%
51.9%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Reese Johnson |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Reese Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |