Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.5% vs Kadri 54.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 52.4%
Defensive zone
Kadri 51.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 53.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Barkov
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Barkov
Kadri
Last 8: Barkov 6-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
1
Barkov
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (1,377)
55.4% (704)
-0.9%
Power Play
54.7% (340)
50.0% (18)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (222)
50.0% (8)
-2.7%
On power play, Barkov has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Barkov is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,222).
Barkov shoots left. Kadri is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Barkov
Kadri
Home
54.5% (948)
53.1% (367)
Away
52.9% (991)
57.3% (363)
By Period
Barkov
Kadri
P1
55.2%
49.8%
P2
54.2%
53.7%
P3
52.3%
61.9%
OT
43.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
61.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.7%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |