Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nelson wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.9% vs Kadri 46.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 57.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 54.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 52.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Nelson
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nelson
Kadri
Last 6: Nelson 4-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Nelson
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (715)
47.2% (1,015)
-3.3%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
41.1% (112)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
17.6% (17)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Nelson is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Nelson shoots left. Kadri is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kadri
Home
42.9% (406)
45.4% (573)
Away
45.8% (393)
46.9% (571)
By Period
Nelson
Kadri
P1
44.1%
48.9%
P2
47.2%
45.2%
P3
42.2%
43.4%
OT
30.8%
61.1%
Final 5 min
39.9%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
44.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |