Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Kadri 46.5% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 69.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 97.5%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 92.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 94.2%
94.2%
5.8%
Stenlund
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Stenlund
Kadri
Last 10: Stenlund 8-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Stenlund
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
8
0
Stenlund
Kadri
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Stenlund
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
45.7% (1,295)
+12.9%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
52.7% (146)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
34.8% (23)
+25.7%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Kadri is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Kadri
Home
58.6% (548)
46.5% (725)
Away
59.7% (506)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Stenlund
Kadri
P1
60.2%
47.2%
P2
59.1%
44.9%
P3
58.3%
46.3%
OT
58.6%
51.4%
Final 5 min
58.8%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |