Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Brown 51.9% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 88.8%
Defensive zone
Brown 62.6%
Neutral zone
Kadri 65.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Kadri
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kadri
Brown
Last 7: Kadri 2-5 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
5
Kadri
Brown
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
52.8% (284)
-6.6%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
75.0% (4)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
49.0% (51)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Brown has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Kadri shoots left. Brown is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Kadri
Brown
Home
47.4% (641)
53.5% (144)
Away
47.6% (593)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Kadri
Brown
P1
46.9%
49.0%
P2
49.5%
48.7%
P3
46.2%
58.6%
Final 5 min
46.4%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |