Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Brown 54.6% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Brown leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 88.6%
Defensive zone
Brown 62.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 68.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Kadri
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Kadri
Brown
Last 10: Kadri 4-6 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
5
0
Kadri
Brown
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
9
Kadri
Brown
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
56.5% (726)
-8.3%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
62.5% (8)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
47.8% (136)
-6.8%
On power play, Brown has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Kadri shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Kadri
Brown
Home
49.1% (7,467)
57.4% (364)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
53.6% (506)
By Period
Kadri
Brown
P1
49.2%
51.4%
P2
48.8%
54.6%
P3
48.0%
58.8%
OT
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 10:32 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |