Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.1% vs Stastny 55.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 76.3%
Defensive zone
Kadri 72.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 76.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Kadri
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kadri
Stastny
Last 6: Kadri 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Kadri
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Kadri
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (1,051)
55.4% (1,004)
-7.5%
Power Play
50.0% (66)
59.0% (210)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
54.1% (196)
-7.0%
On power play, Stastny has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kadri is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (726).
Kadri shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Kadri
Stastny
Home
50.3% (576)
56.5% (717)
Away
45.5% (558)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Kadri
Stastny
P1
49.9%
56.7%
P2
48.1%
57.7%
P3
46.2%
52.1%
OT
41.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |