Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 32 meetings). Kadri wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 42-30 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 70.2%
Defensive zone
Kadri 86.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 79.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Kadri
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
42
(72 meetings)
30
42
Kadri
Stastny
Last 10: Kadri 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
11
21
Kadri
Stastny
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
8
7
Kadri
Stastny
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
11
14
Kadri
Stastny
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
54.6% (10,616)
-6.4%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
52.9% (1,119)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Kadri shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Kadri
Stastny
Home
49.1% (7,467)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Kadri
Stastny
P1
49.2%
56.3%
P2
48.8%
55.4%
P3
48.0%
53.5%
OT
49.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
48.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 16, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |