Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.7% vs Stastny 55.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 76.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 86.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 84.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 78.4%
21.6%
78.4%
Kadri
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kadri
Stastny
Last 6: Kadri 5-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
1
Kadri
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (849)
59.2% (370)
-9.0%
Power Play
50.6% (235)
40.9% (44)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (93)
51.7% (58)
-8.7%
On power play, Kadri has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kadri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Kadri shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Kadri
Stastny
Home
48.5% (557)
57.7% (215)
Away
50.8% (620)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Kadri
Stastny
P1
49.5%
57.7%
P2
51.3%
54.2%
P3
47.8%
57.7%
OT
63.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |