Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Thomas 52.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 53.4%
Defensive zone
Thomas 85.4%
Neutral zone
Thomas 69.4%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Kadri
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kadri
Thomas
Last 8: Kadri 5-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
0
Kadri
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Kadri
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
53.2% (1,166)
-5.5%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
56.9% (262)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
48.4% (221)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Kadri shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Kadri
Thomas
Home
48.3% (621)
51.6% (830)
Away
49.6% (589)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Kadri
Thomas
P1
48.1%
52.7%
P2
48.9%
55.6%
P3
49.8%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |