Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Thomas 51.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 70.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 66.2%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Kadri
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kadri
Thomas
Last 8: Kadri 4-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Kadri
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
50.1% (615)
-2.7%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
62.2% (98)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
52.6% (114)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Kadri is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Kadri shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Kadri
Thomas
Home
46.6% (487)
51.9% (374)
Away
48.3% (433)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Kadri
Thomas
P1
52.7%
49.2%
P2
50.2%
55.3%
P3
40.2%
50.6%
OT
44.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:36 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |