Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Johansen 58.2% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 75.9%
Defensive zone
Kadri 80.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 77.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Kadri
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kadri
Johansen
Last 5: Kadri 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Kadri
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
59.8% (625)
-13.6%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
58.2% (196)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
51.9% (27)
-25.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Kadri shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Kadri
Johansen
Home
47.4% (641)
60.3% (436)
Away
47.6% (593)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Kadri
Johansen
P1
46.9%
61.3%
P2
49.5%
60.4%
P3
46.2%
56.0%
OT
42.9%
56.3%
Final 5 min
46.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 03:17 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |