Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Johansen 52.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 82.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 50.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 63.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Kadri
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kadri
Johansen
Last 10: Kadri 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Kadri
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
4
Kadri
Johansen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kadri
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
51.9% (597)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
57.9% (133)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
54.3% (81)
+1.3%
On even strength, Johansen has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Kadri shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Kadri
Johansen
Home
48.3% (621)
55.8% (387)
Away
49.6% (589)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Kadri
Johansen
P1
48.1%
50.0%
P2
48.9%
56.2%
P3
49.8%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |