Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 87.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 64.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 65.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Kadri
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kadri
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Kadri
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
51.8% (444)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
45.3% (150)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Kadri
Kuraly
Home
46.6% (487)
54.6% (304)
Away
48.3% (433)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Kadri
Kuraly
P1
52.7%
55.2%
P2
50.2%
45.7%
P3
40.2%
49.5%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |