Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.1%). Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 83.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 82.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 53.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Kadri
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kadri
Kuraly
Last 5: Kadri 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Kadri
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
49.4% (445)
-1.7%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
100.0% (3)
-46.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
41.9% (117)
+13.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Kadri
Kuraly
Home
48.3% (621)
49.2% (248)
Away
49.6% (589)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Kadri
Kuraly
P1
48.1%
48.3%
P2
48.9%
44.7%
P3
49.8%
51.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |