Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.4%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.7% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 80.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 74.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 61.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Kadri
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kadri
Kuraly
Last 6: Kadri 2-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Kadri
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Kadri
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (849)
52.3% (982)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.6% (235)
41.9% (43)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (93)
39.2% (245)
+3.8%
On power play, Kadri has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kadri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Kadri shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Kadri
Kuraly
Home
48.5% (557)
50.3% (680)
Away
50.8% (620)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Kadri
Kuraly
P1
49.5%
49.5%
P2
51.3%
49.6%
P3
47.8%
49.0%
OT
63.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |