Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Nosek 58.0% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 86.3%
Defensive zone
Nosek 93.7%
Neutral zone
Nosek 71.0%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Kadri
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kadri
Nosek
Last 7: Kadri 4-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Kadri
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
1
Kadri
Nosek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
59.7% (469)
-13.5%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
100.0% (4)
-42.7%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
56.5% (124)
-29.8%
On power play, Nosek has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Kadri shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Kadri
Nosek
Home
47.4% (641)
59.0% (295)
Away
47.6% (593)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Kadri
Nosek
P1
46.9%
56.3%
P2
49.5%
61.9%
P3
46.2%
59.2%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:39 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:27 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |