Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Nosek 51.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 68.6%
Defensive zone
Nosek 72.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 53.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Kadri
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kadri
Nosek
Last 6: Kadri 3-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Kadri
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
53.0% (400)
-7.3%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
33.3% (12)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
45.5% (44)
-10.7%
On power play, Kadri has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Kadri
Nosek
Home
46.5% (725)
49.6% (244)
Away
46.0% (739)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Kadri
Nosek
P1
47.2%
53.1%
P2
44.9%
51.4%
P3
46.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
46.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |