Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Seguin 52.5% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 54.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 85.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 63.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Kadri
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Kadri
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
53.2% (201)
-5.8%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
60.0% (25)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
44.4% (9)
-5.9%
On power play, Seguin has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kadri is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Kadri shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Kadri
Seguin
Home
46.6% (487)
56.3% (126)
Away
48.3% (433)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Kadri
Seguin
P1
52.7%
44.3%
P2
50.2%
52.1%
P3
40.2%
62.5%
OT
44.4%
80.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |