Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Seguin 54.2% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 71.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 66.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 55.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Kadri
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kadri
Seguin
Last 8: Kadri 4-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kadri
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Kadri
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
55.0% (713)
-8.8%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
56.7% (104)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
47.2% (53)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Kadri shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Kadri
Seguin
Home
47.4% (641)
56.2% (443)
Away
47.6% (593)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Kadri
Seguin
P1
46.9%
54.2%
P2
49.5%
52.9%
P3
46.2%
57.1%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:31 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |