Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 35 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 48-45 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 75.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 58.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Kadri
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
45
(93 meetings)
48
45
Kadri
Seguin
Last 10: Kadri 9-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
25
10
Kadri
Seguin
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
18
Kadri
Seguin
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
18
17
Kadri
Seguin
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
53.7% (8,071)
-5.5%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
55.9% (810)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
49.3% (762)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Kadri shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Kadri
Seguin
Home
49.1% (7,467)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Kadri
Seguin
P1
49.2%
52.8%
P2
48.8%
53.3%
P3
48.0%
54.7%
OT
49.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:23 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:31 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |