Scouting Report
Tyson Kozak holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Kozak 49.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 77.4%
Defensive zone
Kozak 82.4%
Neutral zone
Kozak 56.6%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Kadri
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kadri
Kozak
Last 5: Kadri 3-2 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
0
Kadri
Kozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
2
Kadri
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
49.3% (294)
-1.9%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
60.0% (5)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
50.0% (40)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Kozak has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Kadri
Kozak
Home
46.6% (487)
45.5% (145)
Away
48.3% (433)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Kadri
Kozak
P1
52.7%
53.4%
P2
50.2%
50.0%
P3
40.2%
44.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |