Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.2%). Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Kozak 47.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 64.3%
Defensive zone
Kozak 69.8%
Neutral zone
Kozak 52.7%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Kadri
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kadri
Kozak
Last 5: Kadri 3-2 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Kozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
46.0% (137)
-0.3%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
66.7% (3)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
40.0% (5)
-5.2%
On power play, Kozak has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. Kozak is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Kadri
Kozak
Home
46.5% (725)
51.2% (84)
Away
46.0% (739)
39.3% (61)
By Period
Kadri
Kozak
P1
47.2%
57.1%
P2
44.9%
34.7%
P3
46.3%
48.1%
Final 5 min
46.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Tyson Kozak |