Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.6%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Kozak 48.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 74.3%
Defensive zone
Kozak 71.9%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Kadri
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Kadri
Kozak
Last 10: Kadri 6-4 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
1
Kadri
Kozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kozak
1
2
Kadri
Kozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
48.3% (431)
-0.1%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
62.5% (8)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
48.9% (45)
-7.9%
On power play, Kozak has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Kadri shoots left. Kozak is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Kadri
Kozak
Home
49.1% (7,467)
47.6% (229)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Kadri
Kozak
P1
49.2%
54.4%
P2
48.8%
45.7%
P3
48.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Tyson Kozak |