Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Ostapchuk 49.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 50.9%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 71.2%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 52.6%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Last 8: Kadri 5-3 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Ostapchuk
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kadri
Ostapchuk
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
48.3% (271)
-2.6%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
25.0% (4)
+27.7%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
71.4% (7)
-36.6%
On penalty kill, Ostapchuk has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Home
46.5% (725)
49.3% (140)
Away
46.0% (739)
47.9% (142)
By Period
Kadri
Ostapchuk
P1
47.2%
49.1%
P2
44.9%
48.9%
P3
46.3%
47.5%
Final 5 min
46.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 13:17 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |