Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Ostapchuk 50.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 81.1%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 63.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 55.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Last 8: Kadri 3-5 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
2
Kadri
Ostapchuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Kadri
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
Ostapchuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
51.7% (300)
-4.3%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
33.3% (3)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
43.6% (55)
-5.1%
On power play, Kadri has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Home
46.6% (487)
49.1% (161)
Away
48.3% (433)
51.3% (197)
By Period
Kadri
Ostapchuk
P1
52.7%
50.0%
P2
50.2%
45.7%
P3
40.2%
55.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |