Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lee wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 49.6% vs Dowd 55.5% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lee 95.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.5%
Neutral zone
Lee 67.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Lee
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lee
Dowd
Last 7: Lee 2-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lee
1
0
Lee
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
5
Lee
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lee
1
0
Lee
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (84)
58.2% (617)
-9.4%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
71.4% (7)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.2% (144)
-47.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lee is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Lee shoots left. Dowd is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Lee
Dowd
Home
43.9% (57)
58.4% (399)
Away
53.5% (71)
53.9% (369)
By Period
Lee
Dowd
P1
51.3%
59.0%
P2
51.2%
56.1%
P3
44.4%
54.6%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anders Lee |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |