Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Rowney wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.4% vs Dowd 51.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rowney 56.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.9%
Neutral zone
Rowney 56.3%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Rowney
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rowney
Dowd
Last 5: Rowney 2-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Rowney
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (298)
51.2% (381)
-1.5%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
100.0% (2)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (46)
53.9% (89)
-8.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Rowney is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Rowney shoots right. Dowd is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Rowney
Dowd
Home
51.0% (143)
54.6% (218)
Away
48.0% (204)
49.6% (254)
By Period
Rowney
Dowd
P1
49.6%
50.6%
P2
47.7%
55.1%
P3
50.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 13:04 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |