Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings). Giroux wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Dowd 49.9% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 13-2 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 99.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 76.6%
Neutral zone
Giroux 89.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 96.3%
96.3%
3.7%
Giroux
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
2
(15 meetings)
13
2
Giroux
Dowd
Last 10: Giroux 9-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
12
0
Giroux
Dowd
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Giroux
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
52.2% (835)
+7.4%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
60.0% (10)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
44.0% (350)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Giroux is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Giroux shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Giroux
Dowd
Home
65.7% (461)
51.5% (619)
Away
57.7% (515)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Giroux
Dowd
P1
60.7%
51.7%
P2
63.7%
51.6%
P3
60.2%
47.0%
OT
46.2%
22.2%
Final 5 min
63.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |