Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Holloway wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holloway 45.7% vs Dowd 49.9% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holloway 85.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.6%
Neutral zone
Holloway 51.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Holloway
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Holloway
Dowd
Last 7: Holloway 3-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Holloway
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Holloway
Dowd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holloway
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (127)
52.2% (835)
-8.9%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
60.0% (10)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.0% (350)
+6.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Holloway is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Holloway shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Holloway
Dowd
Home
48.6% (72)
51.5% (619)
Away
36.6% (71)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Holloway
Dowd
P1
40.0%
51.7%
P2
43.2%
51.6%
P3
45.1%
47.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holloway
50.0%▲
45.0%
42.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:14 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Dylan Holloway |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Holloway |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Holloway |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |