Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Borgstrom wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Borgstrom 42.6% vs Dowd 51.6% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Borgstrom 67.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Borgstrom
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Borgstrom
Dowd
Last 6: Borgstrom 3-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Borgstrom
1
0
Borgstrom
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
3
Borgstrom
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Borgstrom
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (384)
51.2% (381)
-10.6%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
100.0% (2)
-56.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
53.9% (89)
-13.9%
On power play, Dowd has a +56.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Borgstrom is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Borgstrom shoots left. Dowd is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Borgstrom
Dowd
Home
44.2% (190)
54.6% (218)
Away
37.7% (215)
49.6% (254)
By Period
Borgstrom
Dowd
P1
46.6%
50.6%
P2
32.9%
55.1%
P3
44.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:57 | Neutral | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Henrik Borgstrom |