Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Drury wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Dowd 48.3% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 98.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 66.0%
Neutral zone
Drury 88.1%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Drury
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Drury
Dowd
Last 10: Drury 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
9
0
Drury
Dowd
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Drury
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
49.2% (778)
+5.5%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
58.3% (12)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
44.0% (234)
+27.4%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Drury is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Drury shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Drury
Dowd
Home
56.7% (358)
46.3% (492)
Away
53.6% (306)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Drury
Dowd
P1
57.3%
49.1%
P2
57.6%
48.2%
P3
51.1%
46.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 09:02 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |