Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.4% vs Dowd 48.3% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 52.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 69.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Glendening
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Glendening
Dowd
Last 8: Glendening 2-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Glendening
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
3
Glendening
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (725)
49.2% (778)
+9.1%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (215)
44.0% (234)
+4.4%
On even strength, Glendening has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Glendening is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Glendening shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Glendening
Dowd
Home
55.4% (469)
46.3% (492)
Away
56.6% (479)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Glendening
Dowd
P1
53.5%
49.1%
P2
57.0%
48.2%
P3
58.0%
46.9%
OT
22.2%
71.4%
Final 5 min
59.2%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |