Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Bonino 50.8% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 70.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 50.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Dowd
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Dowd
Bonino
Last 7: Dowd 3-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Dowd
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
51.8% (305)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
48.5% (101)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bonino
Home
46.3% (492)
53.1% (177)
Away
49.8% (532)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Dowd
Bonino
P1
49.1%
55.9%
P2
48.2%
49.6%
P3
46.9%
47.6%
OT
71.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |