Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Acciari 51.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 65.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 58.3%
Neutral zone
Acciari 54.8%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Dowd
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Dowd
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
53.0% (285)
-1.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
31.3% (16)
-31.3%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
50.8% (183)
-9.2%
On power play, Acciari has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Dowd shoots right. Acciari is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Dowd
Acciari
Home
48.6% (451)
53.2% (267)
Away
49.5% (416)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Dowd
Acciari
P1
49.1%
53.1%
P2
47.3%
51.1%
P3
51.4%
50.6%
OT
30.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |