Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 51.6%). Look for Acciari on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.8% vs Acciari 51.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Acciari 65.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 76.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.0%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Dowd
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Dowd
Acciari
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
4
Dowd
Acciari
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (5,850)
53.1% (3,185)
-0.5%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
50.7% (71)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (1,600)
46.8% (999)
-2.9%
On power play, Dowd has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,600).
Dowd shoots right. Acciari is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,142).
Home / Away
Dowd
Acciari
Home
52.1% (3,753)
52.4% (2,033)
Away
49.6% (3,862)
50.8% (2,222)
By Period
Dowd
Acciari
P1
51.9%
52.1%
P2
50.7%
51.7%
P3
50.1%
51.0%
OT
45.9%
51.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Acciari
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:12 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 3, 2019 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |