Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.3%). Look for Acciari on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Acciari 51.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Acciari 66.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 61.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.2%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Dowd
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Dowd
Acciari
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
4
Dowd
Acciari
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
1
Dowd
Acciari
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
52.8% (3,276)
-0.4%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
48.2% (85)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
47.1% (1,061)
-3.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Dowd shoots right. Acciari is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Dowd
Acciari
Home
51.9% (3,897)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Dowd
Acciari
P1
51.7%
52.2%
P2
50.4%
51.5%
P3
50.3%
50.5%
OT
45.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:12 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 3, 2019 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |