Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Laine 43.3% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laine 95.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.0%
Neutral zone
Laine 55.3%
Result
Patrik Laine favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Dowd
Laine
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dowd
Laine
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laine
0
2
Dowd
Laine
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Laine
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Laine
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
35.7% (70)
+19.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
30.0% (10)
+27.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laine shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Laine is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Dowd
Laine
Home
53.7% (445)
36.0% (25)
Away
47.7% (407)
34.5% (55)
By Period
Dowd
Laine
P1
48.8%
45.5%
P2
49.3%
30.0%
P3
54.0%
26.9%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Laine
42.0%▲
38.0%
35.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Patrik Laine |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Patrik Laine |