Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Laine on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Laine 38.2% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Laine leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Laine 95.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.9%
Neutral zone
Laine 56.4%
Result
Patrik Laine favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Dowd
Laine
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Dowd
Laine
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 Laine
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laine
0
5
Dowd
Laine
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
0
Dowd
Laine
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Laine
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Laine
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
34.4% (288)
+18.0%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
36.1% (61)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
50.0% (4)
-5.9%
On power play, Dowd has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laine shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Dowd shoots right. Laine is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Dowd
Laine
Home
51.9% (3,897)
37.2% (191)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
32.1% (162)
By Period
Dowd
Laine
P1
51.7%
37.1%
P2
50.4%
32.1%
P3
50.3%
34.0%
OT
45.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
36.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Laine
42.0%▲
38.0%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:06 | Neutral | Patrik Laine |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Patrik Laine |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Patrik Laine |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Patrik Laine |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Patrik Laine |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Patrik Laine |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |