Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Dubois 49.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 90.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 68.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Dowd
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Dowd
Dubois
Last 9: Dowd 8-1 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Dowd
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
6
0
Dowd
Dubois
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
48.7% (809)
+6.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
50.9% (163)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
37.5% (16)
+0.7%
On even strength, Dowd has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Dubois is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Dowd
Dubois
Home
53.7% (445)
50.5% (497)
Away
47.7% (407)
47.3% (491)
By Period
Dowd
Dubois
P1
48.8%
49.0%
P2
49.3%
48.2%
P3
54.0%
49.1%
OT
44.4%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |