Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Dubois 49.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 94.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 71.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.9%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Dowd
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dowd
Dubois
Last 6: Dowd 4-2 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Dowd
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
0
Dowd
Dubois
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
49.3% (842)
-0.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
57.1% (35)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
55.6% (9)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Dubois is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Dowd
Dubois
Home
46.3% (492)
51.0% (445)
Away
49.8% (532)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Dowd
Dubois
P1
49.1%
50.3%
P2
48.2%
49.5%
P3
46.9%
49.0%
OT
71.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.1%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |