Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Colton 51.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 81.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 71.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.8%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Dowd
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dowd
Colton
Last 5: Dowd 1-4 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
3
Dowd
Colton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
52.1% (741)
-2.9%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
48.3% (60)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
42.1% (19)
+1.9%
On power play, Dowd has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Colton is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Dowd
Colton
Home
46.3% (492)
54.0% (411)
Away
49.8% (532)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Dowd
Colton
P1
49.1%
56.7%
P2
48.2%
53.1%
P3
46.9%
46.3%
OT
71.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Ross Colton |