Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.1%). Look for Colton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Colton 51.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 90.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.1%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Dowd
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dowd
Colton
Last 6: Dowd 1-5 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
4
Dowd
Colton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
51.6% (1,800)
+0.8%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
48.8% (162)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
34.5% (29)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Colton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Dowd
Colton
Home
51.9% (3,897)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Dowd
Colton
P1
51.7%
53.5%
P2
50.4%
52.6%
P3
50.3%
47.9%
OT
45.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Ross Colton |