Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Johansen 52.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 92.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 74.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Dowd
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Dowd
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
51.9% (597)
-2.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
57.9% (133)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
54.3% (81)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Dowd
Johansen
Home
46.3% (492)
55.8% (387)
Away
49.8% (532)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Dowd
Johansen
P1
49.1%
50.0%
P2
48.2%
56.2%
P3
46.9%
52.6%
OT
71.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |