Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Helenius 47.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Helenius leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Helenius 89.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 59.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Dowd
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Dowd
Helenius
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Dowd
Helenius
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Helenius
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
2
3
Dowd
Helenius
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
46.7% (276)
+5.5%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
0.0% (1)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
0.0% (1)
+44.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Helenius is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Dowd
Helenius
Home
51.5% (619)
43.5% (168)
Away
48.1% (576)
50.9% (110)
By Period
Dowd
Helenius
P1
51.7%
50.0%
P2
51.6%
41.5%
P3
47.0%
47.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Helenius
40.0%▼
45.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |