Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Helenius 46.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Helenius leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Helenius 86.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 68.7%
Neutral zone
Helenius 52.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Dowd
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Dowd
Helenius
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Dowd
Helenius
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Helenius
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
2
3
Dowd
Helenius
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
46.8% (477)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
0.0% (2)
+56.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
20.0% (5)
+24.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Helenius is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Dowd
Helenius
Home
51.9% (3,897)
45.1% (266)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
47.7% (218)
By Period
Dowd
Helenius
P1
51.7%
51.0%
P2
50.4%
39.9%
P3
50.3%
47.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Helenius
48.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |