Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Dowd wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 55.5% vs Laughton 49.2% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Laughton 50.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 89.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 86.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Dowd
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Dowd
Laughton
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Laughton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
1
Dowd
Laughton
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (617)
49.9% (375)
+8.3%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
85.7% (7)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
36.7% (49)
+10.5%
On power play, Laughton has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Dowd is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Dowd shoots right. Laughton is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Dowd
Laughton
Home
58.4% (399)
46.0% (211)
Away
53.9% (369)
51.8% (220)
By Period
Dowd
Laughton
P1
59.0%
53.1%
P2
56.1%
52.2%
P3
54.6%
42.4%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |