Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Laughton 50.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laughton 69.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Dowd
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dowd
Laughton
Last 5: Dowd 3-2 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Dowd
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
53.1% (636)
+2.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
63.6% (44)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
30.9% (94)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Laughton is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Dowd
Laughton
Home
58.2% (462)
53.7% (454)
Away
49.3% (481)
47.2% (320)
By Period
Dowd
Laughton
P1
55.6%
48.4%
P2
50.5%
51.5%
P3
53.9%
53.4%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:11 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |