Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.9%). Look for Laughton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Laughton 49.0% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Laughton leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Laughton 87.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 71.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.1%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Dowd
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Dowd
Laughton
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
4
Dowd
Laughton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
0
Dowd
Laughton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
2
Dowd
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
49.1% (761)
+0.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
49.3% (69)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
47.6% (147)
-3.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Laughton is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Dowd
Laughton
Home
46.3% (492)
50.7% (485)
Away
49.8% (532)
47.2% (492)
By Period
Dowd
Laughton
P1
49.1%
46.5%
P2
48.2%
51.1%
P3
46.9%
49.5%
OT
71.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
45.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |