Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 50.1%). Look for Pinto on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Pinto 50.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 82.1%
Defensive zone
Pinto 53.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.8%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 74.9%
25.1%
74.9%
Dowd
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Dowd
Pinto
Last 8: Dowd 2-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
6
Dowd
Pinto
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
50.4% (779)
+1.8%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
55.2% (29)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
44.9% (78)
-0.9%
On power play, Dowd has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Dowd shoots right. Pinto is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Dowd
Pinto
Home
51.5% (619)
52.4% (454)
Away
48.1% (576)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Dowd
Pinto
P1
51.7%
48.1%
P2
51.6%
52.9%
P3
47.0%
49.3%
OT
22.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |